BRIDGES Insights
Refusals of Vanuatu Citizenship: The Trend in 2021-2026

Contents
I used to be reproached that Vanuatu refused nobody. The reproach was justified. The situation is different now, and I consider it the best thing that has happened to the programme. Here is how strictness has changed and where cases stall today.
For many years the main criticism of Vanuatu was the absence of refusals. The criticism was well founded: according to the European Commission, by the end of 2020 the country's authorities had rejected exactly one application in the entire life of the programme. The picture has since changed, and changed quickly.
We analyse the trend from the official figures, explain how the checks work and show where exactly cases stall today. This is not statistics for their own sake: understanding what is checked and how directly determines whether a case goes through or comes back with a request.
In short: how strictness has changed
- Before 2020 — one rejected application in the programme's entire history.
- 2021 — 4 refusals out of 1,072 applications, or 0.37 per cent.
- 2022 — 5 refusals out of 872 applications, 0.57 per cent.
- 2023 — 22 refusals out of 1,113 applications, almost 2 per cent.
- A multiple increase in two years, and the trend continues.
- The main reason for rejection is the source of funds, not criminal records.
We will check your case before filing
We will look at your background and source of funds through the reviewer's eyes and tell you what needs closing in advance.
The refusal trend by year
The share of rejected applications in the total filed. For 2021-2023 it is calculated from the official statistics of the Vanuatu Citizenship Commission. For 2024-2026 there are no official data, and the BRIDGES estimate from our case practice is shown.
| Year | Applications filed | Refused | Refusal rate | Data status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1,072 | 4 | 0.37% | official |
| 2022 | 872 | 5 | 0.57% | official |
| 2023 | 1,113 | 22 | 1.98% | official |
| 2024 | no data | ~30 | ~1.5% | BRIDGES estimate |
| 2025 | no data | ~35 | ~1.7% | BRIDGES estimate |
| 2026, first half | no data | ~20 | ~1.9% | BRIDGES estimate |
In absolute numbers there are still few refusals. What matters, though, is not the absolute figure but the speed of change: in two years the indicator rose more than fivefold. For a programme criticised for years for the formality of its checks, that is a fundamental change of approach.
How the check works now
The key change is not in the number of refusals but in where the decision is actually made.
Previously an application went to the Citizenship Commission, and the check was largely formal. Now the case first goes to Vanuatu's financial intelligence unit, and it is there that the background and origin of funds are assessed. The Commission receives a case that has already been checked, and decides quickly — which, incidentally, is where the programme's overall speed comes from.
The practical consequence: a weak case is stopped at the first stage, before it reaches the Commission, and often does not even appear in the official refusal statistics. Real strictness is higher than the figure shows.
| Stage | Who checks | What is assessed |
|---|---|---|
| Preliminary check | the licensed agent | obvious obstacles, completeness of the pack |
| Due diligence | Vanuatu's financial intelligence unit | background, convictions, source of funds |
| Review | the Citizenship Commission | a decision based on the check |
| Issue of documents | the passport office | biometrics, production of the passport |
We covered the mechanics of each stage in detail in the article on due diligence for Vanuatu citizenship.
Are there episodes that worry you?
Where cases stall
The distribution of causes from our case practice.
| Cause | How often it occurs | Can it be closed in advance? |
|---|---|---|
| Source of funds not fully evidenced | the most common | yes, with a complete document pack |
| Discrepancies in documents and dates | often | yes, by checking before filing |
| Unexplained episodes in the background | less often | usually yes, with an explanation backed by documents |
| A criminal record | rarely | depends on the offence and how long ago |
| Sanctions restrictions | rarely | no |
Note the right-hand column: almost everything that leads to rejection can be closed by preparation. A refusal on the merits — where a person simply does not qualify — is rare. Far more often a case stalls because it was not prepared.
The specific grounds for rejection are analysed in reasons for refusal of Vanuatu citizenship, and cases involving a criminal record or a previous refusal by another programme in a separate article on Vanuatu citizenship with a criminal record.
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Why the source of funds has become decisive
The shift of focus to the origin of money happened not in Vanuatu alone but across the whole investment citizenship market. The cause is external: the requirements of international anti-money-laundering standards.
What this means in practice: what is checked is not the balance in the account but the path by which the money got there. A statement showing the sum proves nothing — a chain is needed: where the income came from, which contracts, which taxes were paid, how the funds moved between accounts.
The typical mistake looks like this: an applicant brings a bank certificate showing two hundred thousand dollars and considers the matter closed. A request arrives: what evidences the origin of this sum? Documents are then gathered after the fact, and the case drags on for months. The right order is the reverse — the chain is assembled before filing.
What a correct pack looks like is covered in the article on documents for Vanuatu citizenship.
What a reviewer's request looks like
Between "approved" and "refused" there is an intermediate stage that is rarely written about: the additional request. Formally it is not a refusal, but it is what stretches the timeline, and it is what most rejections grow out of.
A typical request reads: confirm the origin of the sum received into the account on such-and-such a date; explain the discrepancy in the spelling of the surname between the passport and the birth certificate; provide documents on the company whose stake was sold. The time to reply is limited, and while it runs the case stands still.
| What to do on a request | What not to do |
|---|---|
| Reply with documents, not an explanatory note | send an explanation without evidence |
| Close the whole episode | answer only the literal question asked |
| Keep within the time allowed | ask for an extension unless absolutely necessary |
| Check whether the answer creates new questions | attach extra documents at random |
In our practice a correctly prepared case goes through without a single request. Each additional request adds two weeks to a month and a half to the timeline.
What to do after a refusal
A refusal does not always close the road. What to do next depends on the ground.
- Incomplete documents. The most common case and the most solvable: the case is rebuilt and filed again with the gaps closed.
- Questions about the source of funds. Solvable if the origin of the money can in principle be evidenced. A full pack covering the chain is needed, not an additional certificate.
- A criminal record. Depends on the offence and how long ago it was. Such situations are analysed in the article on Vanuatu citizenship with a criminal record.
- Sanctions restrictions. There are no prospects, and it is better to hear that at once than after the contribution has been paid.
A separate warning about a common mistake: applying to another programme immediately after a refusal. A refusal under one programme is recorded, and the next application form asks about it. Concealing that fact turns a solvable situation into an unsolvable one.
I read the rise in refusals as good news, although it takes a while to explain that to clients. A programme that refuses one in five hundred raises questions with banks and visa services. A programme that refuses two in a hundred looks like a working mechanism with a real check. The second makes the passport more valuable in substance, not in price. As for practice: over the past two years not one of our cases has stalled because of an applicant's background. They stalled because of an incomplete source of funds, and every time it was because the documents were gathered after filing rather than before.
Sergey Evdokimov
What the financial intelligence unit asks about
To show what the check looks like from the inside, here are typical requests that arrive on cases. The wording is generalised; no case specifics are disclosed.
| Request | What lies behind it |
|---|---|
| Confirm the origin of the receipt on such-and-such a date | a break in the chain: money appeared in the account with no document on where it came from |
| Provide documents on the company whose stake was sold | checking that the asset existed and was sold at a real price |
| Explain the discrepancy in the spelling of the name | different transliterations in the passport and the certificate |
| Clarify your employment over the period | an unexplained gap in the employment history |
| Provide tax confirmation for the income | checking that tax was paid on the income in its jurisdiction |
Note that none of the typical requests concerns the applicant as a person. They are all about documents. That is why a fully assembled case goes through without requests, while a partially assembled one receives them in batches and drags on for months.
Where the indicator goes next
Our estimate: the refusal rate will rise to three to four per cent within two years. Three reasons.
- Biometrics. Since November 2025 applicants' data pass through a biometric system, which makes checks against international databases complete.
- External requirements. Pressure on investment citizenship programmes is growing overall, and Vanuatu is responding by tightening rather than relaxing.
- Experience. The reviewers have built up practice and now recognise schemes that used to pass.
There is one practical conclusion for an applicant: requirements will keep rising, and a case that passes today may need twice as much evidence a year from now. A detailed outlook for the programme as a whole is in the outlook for Vanuatu's programme to 2028.
Frequently asked
Questions people ask before deciding
01How often is Vanuatu citizenship refused?
According to official statistics, the refusal rate rose from 0.37 per cent in 2021 to almost 2 per cent in 2023: 4 refusals out of 1,072 applications, then 5 out of 872 and 22 out of 1,113. In absolute numbers that is not many, but it is a more than fivefold increase in two years.
02What most often causes a refusal?
An incompletely evidenced source of funds. Criminal records and sanctions restrictions are much rarer. Almost every cause of rejection can be closed by preparing the documents before filing.
03Who decides on a refusal?
The check is carried out by Vanuatu's financial intelligence unit, and the decision is taken by the Citizenship Commission. A weak case, however, is stopped at the check stage, before it reaches the Commission, and often does not appear in the official refusal statistics.
04What exactly is checked in the source of funds?
Not the account balance but the path of the money: where the income came from, which contracts evidence it, which taxes were paid and how the funds moved between accounts. A single bank certificate is not enough.
05Can I apply again after a refusal?
It depends on the ground for rejection. If the case stalled because of incomplete documents, it is prepared again and refiled. If the cause is sanctions restrictions, there are no prospects.
06Will the checks become stricter still?
On our estimate the refusal rate will rise to three to four per cent within two years. The reasons are the move to biometrics from November 2025, growing external requirements on investment citizenship programmes and the reviewers' accumulated experience.
Personal programme selection is conducted by Anna Kovalevskaya, Head of Legal, BRIDGES.
How a programme is chosen: goals breakdown
Budget, family, timelines and relocation plans - which answers lead to which programme.

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